Pulling the Curtain Back on Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS), Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH)

Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 37.153800. The 6 month volatility is 45.566800, and the 3 month is spotted at 38.160800. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period.

When it comes to investing, overconfidence can be detrimental to securing profits in the stock market. When investors have some early short-term wins, this may lead them to believe that it is their skill and superior knowledge that produced the winners. All though this may occasionally be the case, investors may quickly realize that it is very hard to consistently produce winning results. Sometimes a few wins can lead the investor to believe that they can make any trade work. This may create a situation where the individual gets in much deeper than they should have. Conducting the proper stock research before any trade can help the investor make sure that they are getting into a position for the right reasons.

At the time of writing, Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) has a Piotroski F-Score of 3. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

Some of the best financial predictions are formed by using a variety of financial tools. The Price Range 52 Weeks is one of the tools that investors use to determine the lowest and highest price at which a stock has traded in the previous 52 weeks.  The Price Range of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) over the past 52 weeks is 0.732000.  The 52-week range can be found in the stock’s quote summary. 

Free Cash Flow Growth (FCF Growth) is the free cash flow of the current year minus the free cash flow from the previous year, divided by last year’s free cash flow.  The FCF Growth of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) is 4.312026.  Free cash flow (FCF) is the cash produced by the company minus capital expenditure.  This cash is what a company uses to meet its financial obligations, such as making payments on debt or to pay out dividends.  The Free Cash Flow Score (FCF Score) is a helpful tool in calculating the free cash flow growth with free cash flow stability – this gives investors the overall quality of the free cash flow.  The FCF Score of Varonis Systems, Inc. is 3.519909.  Experts say the higher the value, the better, as it means that the free cash flow is high, or the variability of free cash flow is low or both.

We can now take a quick look at some historical stock price index data. Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) presently has a 10 month price index of 1.14679. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period. A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 1.29837, the 24 month is 2.05205, and the 36 month is 3.57945. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 0.78687, the 3 month is 0.91551, and the 1 month is currently 0.92569.

Investors may be interested in viewing the Gross Margin score on shares of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS). The name currently has a score of 39.00000. This score is derived from the Gross Margin (Marx) stability and growth over the previous eight years. The Gross Margin score lands on a scale from 1 to 100 where a score of 1 would be considered positive, and a score of 100 would be seen as negative. The Q.i. Value of Varonis Systems, Inc. is 58.00000.  The Q.i. Value is a helpful tool in determining if a company is undervalued or not.  The Q.i. Value is calculated using the following ratios: EBITDA Yield, Earnings Yield, FCF Yield, and Liquidity.  The lower the Q.i. value, the more undervalued the company is thought to be.

The MF Rank (aka the Magic Formula) is a formula that pinpoints a valuable company trading at a good price.  The formula is calculated by looking at companies that have a high earnings yield as well as a high return on invested capital.  The MF Rank of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) is 13235.  A company with a low rank is considered a good company to invest in.  The Magic Formula was introduced in a book written by Joel Greenblatt, entitled, “The Little Book that Beats the Market”.  The ERP5 Rank is an investment tool that analysts use to discover undervalued companies.  The ERP5 looks at the Price to Book ratio, Earnings Yield, ROIC and 5 year average ROIC.  The ERP5 of Varonis Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRNS) is 15658.  The lower the ERP5 rank, the more undervalued a company is thought to be.

Investors have a few distinct options when approaching the stock market. One option is to follow the crowd and trade with the consensus. Another way is to go against the herd and adopt a contrarian strategy. When it comes down to it, the investor will typically have to make this decision with their best interests in mind. In general, no investor wants to miss out on a winning stock. Far too often, investors will be overcome with the fear of missing out and get into a stock way too late. Just because a stock has been over performing and seeing large gains does not mean that those gains are going to continue into the future. Investors may be too quick to get into a hot stock without putting in the proper time and energy to research whether or not it is still a good stock at current trading levels. Investors who take the time to do their homework for every trade may find themselves a step ahead of the crowd in the long run.

Taking a look at some historical volatility numbers on shares of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 35.389900. The 6 month volatility is 29.851900, and the 3 month is spotted at 27.592500. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period.

Beginner traders have the tendency to make many mistakes when starting out. Although this comes with the territory, continually making the same mistakes will most likely put the trader on the sidelines very quickly. Learning from previous mistakes is what helps transform a mediocre trader into a good one. Successful traders are highly adept at creating detailed plans, managing risk, and reviewing previous trading records. Scooping up profits from the stock market is no easy task. Even with the best intentions and preparation, things may not work out as planned. Taking a look at the market from various angles may help the trader see the bigger picture. Market environments are constantly changing, and traders need to be ready for these changes and adapt accordingly in order to be successful over the long-term.

We can now take a quick look at some historical stock price index data. Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) presently has a 10 month price index of 0.99727. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period. A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 1.19792, the 24 month is 1.41397, and the 36 month is 61.63462. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 1.08816, the 3 month is 1.06421, and the 1 month is currently 1.01503.

At the time of writing, Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) has a Piotroski F-Score of 7. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

Investors may be interested in viewing the Gross Margin score on shares of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH). The name currently has a score of 4.00000. This score is derived from the Gross Margin (Marx) stability and growth over the previous eight years. The Gross Margin score lands on a scale from 1 to 100 where a score of 1 would be considered positive, and a score of 100 would be seen as negative. The Q.i. Value of Arch Coal, Inc. is 8.00000.  The Q.i. Value is a helpful tool in determining if a company is undervalued or not.  The Q.i. Value is calculated using the following ratios: EBITDA Yield, Earnings Yield, FCF Yield, and Liquidity.  The lower the Q.i. value, the more undervalued the company is thought to be.

The MF Rank (aka the Magic Formula) is a formula that pinpoints a valuable company trading at a good price.  The formula is calculated by looking at companies that have a high earnings yield as well as a high return on invested capital.  The MF Rank of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) is 2597.  A company with a low rank is considered a good company to invest in.  The Magic Formula was introduced in a book written by Joel Greenblatt, entitled, “The Little Book that Beats the Market”.  The ERP5 Rank is an investment tool that analysts use to discover undervalued companies.  The ERP5 looks at the Price to Book ratio, Earnings Yield, ROIC and 5 year average ROIC.  The ERP5 of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) is 8498.  The lower the ERP5 rank, the more undervalued a company is thought to be.

Some of the best financial predictions are formed by using a variety of financial tools. The Price Range 52 Weeks is one of the tools that investors use to determine the lowest and highest price at which a stock has traded in the previous 52 weeks.  The Price Range of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) over the past 52 weeks is 0.932000.  The 52-week range can be found in the stock’s quote summary. 

Free Cash Flow Growth (FCF Growth) is the free cash flow of the current year minus the free cash flow from the previous year, divided by last year’s free cash flow.  The FCF Growth of Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ARCH) is .  Free cash flow (FCF) is the cash produced by the company minus capital expenditure.  This cash is what a company uses to meet its financial obligations, such as making payments on debt or to pay out dividends.  The Free Cash Flow Score (FCF Score) is a helpful tool in calculating the free cash flow growth with free cash flow stability – this gives investors the overall quality of the free cash flow.  The FCF Score of Arch Coal, Inc. is .  Experts say the higher the value, the better, as it means that the free cash flow is high, or the variability of free cash flow is low or both.

Managing the stock portfolio can be a very challenging task. To manage the portfolio successfully, it can take a lot of dedicated time, effort, and perseverance. Studying the market and being in tune with the economic landscape can help investors gain the knowledge that is needed to come out on top. Controlling emotions and consistently following a plan may be the keys to keep the investor on track. As many seasoned investors know, the stock market can be a wild ride full of many ups and downs. Being able to stay calm and focused during the rocky periods can assist the investor when making those highly important portfolio decisions.